Miscellaneous thoughts and ramblings
Friday, August 29, 2008
Pouncing on Palin
Man - the democrats have wasted no time in jumping all over Palin. Yesterday no one knew anything about her. Today everyone's facebook status proclaims her an inexperienced fire-breathing radical. Hopefully this is a sign that they're spooked.
At least no one ever complained about W's VP choice.
In any case, I loved her on Monty Python. No, wait, I'm thinking of John Cleese. Nevermind.
Labels: mccain palin election
Tuesday, August 26, 2008
Author's Mistake (More Subliminal Music: Hendrix "Are You Experienced" lyrics in Hillary's Intro)
UPDATE: THANKS TO SOME MORE KNOWLEDGEABLE FOLKS, I CAN PUT THIS CONSPIRACY THEORY TO REST... THE LINE IS FROM LENNY KRAVITZ'S ""ARE YOU GONNA GO MY WAY" MEA CULPA.
I'm watching a replay of the Hillary introductory video, and shortly before "American Girl" plays, there's a musical montage that includes what I am sure is Jimmi Hendrix. The clip goes: "What I really want to know is" and then cuts out to other music. Everyone who knows the song knows the next phrase:
"ARE YOU EXPERIENCED"
This CAN'T be by accident. Obama's number one vulnerability is his lack of experience, and in Hillary's introduction, someone has placed the question.
What I must know is who put this together? I've got this on my DVR. I'll see if I can find it online. Absent that, I'll try to post it.
Update (forward to 1:33):
I Love You
And you really have to hand it to Bill for the "I love you, I love you, I love you" when the camera panned to him. I love him for his shamelessness. He even managed partial tearing.
Given Michelle Obama's clear purpose to identify herself as "one of you," during last night's Democratic festivities, the choice of "American Girl" (Tom Petty) as Hillary's introductory music seems like a really poor choice. Just reeks of the subtext, "here's the white, fair-haired, REAL American girl. Sure, Michelle's like us too, but..."
Yeah, it's nitpicking, but this convention so far just seems riddled with mistakes.
Monday, August 25, 2008
Obamas: We're Just Like You - Mistake
I think this approach is a big mistake for the Obamas. Obama's success to date has been predicated on how special he is. He's supposed to transcend politics as usual, and deliver change that mere mortals can't or won't. McCain successfully punctured this balloon with the celeb adds, aided by Obama overplaying his celebrity with his world tour. But McCain's successful attack is, in my opinion, paying extra dividends, in that it forced Obama to take the "we're just like you" tack.
It's like the Wizard of Oz opening his own curtain without the help of Dorothy's dog Toto. "Hey everyone! I'm just an ordinary guy with an ordinary family, complete with kids that sound annoying when someone hands them a microphone in front of adult company." Strips him of his grandeur, and I'm not sure what's left as a selling point once that's gone.
Wednesday, August 06, 2008
Blankley on Obama's Arrogance
Here is a man who talked almost contemptuously of Gen. Petraeus. Explaining His differences with the general, He said that His "job is to think about the national security interest as a whole; (the generals') job is just to get their job done (in Iraq)." Of course, right at the moment, the junior senator from Illinois doesn't yet have "His" job, while Gen. Petraeus, as confirmed Centcom commander, has direct responsibility for both Afghanistan and Iraq and everything in between and around them. But in the mind of Sen. I Am, He already is, while He thinks the man who is perhaps our greatest general in two generations is just another flunky carrying out routine orders. It is repulsive to see such a mentality in a man who would be president.
Sunday, August 03, 2008
A Reason Why McCain is Going to Win
He's winning the old people.
From a Dick Morris piece last week...
Among those in their 40s, men back McCain by 11 points and women support him by four. And for those over 50, men vote for the Republican by a nine-point margin while women prefer him by three points.
Morris makes the point that "for a Democrat to be losing among women over 40 is without precedent in the past 20 years."
This is big news for McCain. The prospect that younger voters are going to somehow turn out in record numbers is unlikely. This point is backed up by some numbers in Michael Barone's piece from Saturday:
The first bit of evidence comes from the July 10-13 ABC/Washington Post poll. It asked registered voters if they were "certain" to vote. Only 46 percent of voters under 30 said they were -- substantially lower than the 66 percent who said so in the ABC/Washington Post poll taken Feb. 28-March 2, at a time when Obama was enjoying a string of primary and caucus victories and before the sermons of the Rev. Jeremiah Wright were circulated on youtube.com on March 13. The 46 percent of young voters saying in July they were certain to vote was far lower than the 79 percent of 65 and over voters who said they were.
Old people vote. Young people don't. That's electoral reality. McCain's winning among the people who vote. That's why he'll win in November.
Saturday, August 02, 2008
McCain is Going to Win Comfortably in the End
I buy the dogma that this election is about Obama, and at the end of the day, Obama just isn't going to appeal to mainstream America enough to defeat a palatable middle-of-the-roader like McCain.
His positions are too extreme, his associations too scary, and his attitude too condescendingly arrogant. The primary claim of his campaign of a change in politics just isn't going to sell, given the cynical, disingenuous politics-as-usual approach into which he's descended.
Obama has already passed his high-water mark. His slim lead in the polls has pretty much evaporated. As people learn more about him, they are less likely to want him occupying the Oval Office; not more. He can continue to attempt to obscure his actual positions on everything under the sun, but his propensity to meander when questioned continues to expose his radical ideologies.
You heard it here first; McCain wins comfortably.